Also, much of California will want to stay in America. California’s progress, however, would be counterbalanced by the US’s continued backsliding, including its loosening of emissions and pollution standards, defunding of initiatives to develop sustainable energy and opening up of carbon-capturing wilderness areas for prospecting and development. I think the US could survive without it better than California could on its own. “The US is not immune to this.”. 5.) For Democrats, the most optimistic outcome for a US without California, he continues, would be a more centrist political arena – one akin to the presidency of Dwight Eisenhower (1953-1961), when bipartisan consensus allowed for major undertakings like the construction of the interstate highway system. Without influence in D.C., California will have to renegotiate its benefits from the federal government, notably for the military that protects it. Find right answers right now! Its accumulated advantages are decades and even centuries old, whether it’s from higher education, the military industrial complex that birthed Silicon Valley, that coastline I mentioned, or even just the nice weather. Get a roundup of the most important and intriguing stories from around the world, delivered to your inbox every weekday. But California is not a nation. If California is no longer inseparable from the union, then California itself is not inseparable. Though economists have shown time and time again that growth creates positive-sum benefits, Californians, with their newly established borders, also may fall subject to an erroneous us-versus-them mentality. Meanwhile, the loss of California’s electoral votes would leave little hope for the US to see another Democratic president in the near future. (Check out Bloomberg’s “California’s Drought In Two Terrifying Charts.”) The reason that they canget so much water from the Colorado River is the California delegation can overwhelm all the other Western states in Congress. Most importantly, without the California Congressional caucus in Washington, the Republican edge in the House of Representatives almost doubles. A family of four can barely survive in California on a household income of $100,000 per year. “Given the sheer scale of Hispanic populations in California and the role of agriculture there, I can’t imagine that California would not wish to develop a new policy on the question of welcoming people from Central America and elsewhere,” O’Leary says. “In this hypothetical situation, you can imagine folks in the north-east thinking that if D.C. allowed California to go scot-free, it would probably let them go, too,” says Saideman. California is the only thing keeping the Democratic Party relevant on the national scale. Americans have grown increasingly polarised in recent years. “California’s much more serious efforts to reduce the pace of climate change would be undone by the rest of the US,” Saideman says. But folks in Sacramento are doing their best to try. The Democratic Party is in shambles. But actually secession is obviously more complicated. Wiki User Answered . “The standard rule about immigration is that whoever is already there decides that the best thing that could possibly happen is to put up barriers to anyone else coming in,” Grofman says. 7 8 9. It’s enormous in terms of geography, population, economy, and very importantly coastline. (Oh! California as we know it will cease to exist. California. There is little love for hallowed First Amendment freedoms—except the right to protest, obviously—so don’t expect a freedom of speech, religion, or even the press in New California. We wonder what loss of that land mass would do to the state’s self-sustaining agriculture…? Which is precisely why it would be so self-destructive to seek to become one. CAN CALIFORNIA SURVIVE BEING ITS OWN COUNTRY? Coronavirus. But looking at what could ensue if it happened underscores some fascinating truths about the US – and where power really lies. California will have to renegotiate deals they currently benefit from. One might say passage of a secession referendum–even secession itself–might be. California may have the size and economy and independent spirit of a good-sized country. The state, with its high Latino population, particularly doesn’t appreciate Trump’s rhetoric about the “wall with Mexico.”. All News. Hmm. California made the top of our list by meeting almost all of our criteria. “Politically, this would put Democrats in a deep, deep hole,” Saideman says. One unexpected financial shock, and they are underwater. Note this election night infographic from The New York Times. “I’m an American in Canada, and after every election, everyone says ‘I’m moving to Canada’, but they don’t,” Saideman says. The newly divided US would lose international footing and become more beholden to its allies, and some long-standing friendships would be tested. We just used a gender-specific term to describe association. and another putting the state’s pension liability. Rankings U.S. News analyzed 150 metro areas in the United States to find the best places to live based on quality of life and the job market in each metro area, as well as the value of living there and people's desire to live there. Though they may not realize it, … . “People tend to believe that adding new people will simply divide the pie in more ways,” he says. See all the best places to live in California. Even before that happens, however, California’s state legislature has approve secession, which may not be as easy as the ballot initiative that started it all. To be clear, unless something drastically changes, California is not going to secede any time soon. Also contrary to what many might assume, California’s secession probably wouldn’t kick off a sudden mass immigration of US liberals into California and an exodus of Republicans out. Following the secession of the north-east, Florida may opt to depart, too, as could parts of Texas. Local News. California boasts more than30 military bases—not including lesser facilities—with almost 200,000 active duty personnel.This is a particular issue for San Diego, given theenormous military presence there. Another US civil war may sound unlikely, but consider that the southern US did not expect lasting conflict to ensue when it decided to secede from the north 157 years ago. If California is no longer inseparable from the union, then California itself is not inseparable. “It seems unfathomable that the US would have another war of secession, but I think if you talked to people in the mid-19th Century they would have said the same thing,” Toft says. California would seem a paradise to you at first. “The euro and Chinese yuan could replace it as the global currency.”. At that point, other states – many of which have the economic capacity and population size to become small countries of their own – may see little incentive to stick around. Thank you! So California, as the world’s fifth-largest economy, is going to be a counterweight, a West Coast enclave built on its own values and funded, in part, by an anticipated $21.6 billion surplus. . One might say passage of a secession referendum–even secession itself–might be improbable, rather than impossible, too. There is so much dust and ash, it clogged the filters on my building's AC last night and caused it to … So let’s assume for a moment that California leaves, and when it does, expect the following five things to happen quickly: 1.) Getting Cal-exit on the 2018 ballot is going to happen. Join your fellow readers and vote for us in the Webby Awards! Twice. The only criteria it … it would have to raise taxes in order to purchase water from the US. AND HOW POSSIBLE IS IT THAT 2/3 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AND THE SENATE VOTE FOR THIS? Secession is extremely improbable. Can the coronavirus live on clothes and shoes? The possibility of violence, even formal war, is the first and most crucial question for hypothesising what would happen if California tried to leave. Those rights get in the way of thought-policing and lawsuits. Some scholars argue that ideological tensions have never been greater in living memory. In Houston, by contrast, this same family will still have over $3,500 per month left over after paying for taxes and the bare necessities. Accordingly, California set its initial retirement age for state workers (and, beginning in 1939, for local-government employees) at 65, at a time when the average 20-year-old entering the workforce could expect to live for another 46 years, until 66. Twice. California could also be more attractive than the US to immigrants. According to Monica Toft, a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School at Tufts University in Boston, arguments in support of these plans include the belief that the federal government no longer represents California’s economic interests; that the state is so large that proper governance is only possible if applied across a smaller geographic scale; or that irreconcilable differences have emerged between what California and the rest of the US stand for. New technology can make firefighting efforts more effective “California has battled some of its biggest wildfires this year with a new weapon: a plane outfitted with infrared sensors that can see through smoke to plot the blazes’ perimeters and transmit the coordinates to firefighters in real-time.” — Erin Ailworth, Wall Street Journal Simply, California has to be perhaps one of the most hazardous places to live. Whatever remains of old California will disregard classic liberal values in favor of modern day progressivism, which is a bizarre mixture of anarchy and fascism: They want the government to control your sugar consumption while de-criminalizing every dangerous drug available. This story was originally produced and published by Zocalo Public Square. One unexpected financial shock, and they are underwater. And whenever I see an article about the move for California to secede from the United States (the so-called “Cal-exit”), the more I think that a vote to split is, rather than improbable. Southern California might look favourably on immigration – but the north may not (Credit: Getty), On the other hand, while highly diverse southern California might look favourably on immigration, much more conservative northern California could be staunchly opposed. “I cannot foresee generals from the Pentagon obeying orders to go occupy California by force.”. Live Newscasts. A family of four can barely survive in California on a household income of $100,000 per year. not including lesser facilities—with almost 200,000 active duty personnel. Quebec has voted twice on seceding from Canada. For the past few years, divides both within the state, and between California and the rest of the US, have sparked at least six initiatives aimed at breaking California into smaller states or cleaving it entirely from the rest of the country. So, I live in north/central california, and I havn't seen the sky in 4 days. Let that sink in. California, on the other hand, would become an attractive new ally for those and other liberal countries. Though they may not realize it, California benefits enormously from its membership in our fraternity of states. Silicon Valley will form its own independent, Luxembourg-like nation, where it can ignore international law and avoid paying taxes. A constitutional law denies states the right to secession, and there’s scant evidence that the majority of California’s citizens actually want to leave. 3.) . It is very easy to get an initiative on the ballot in California, so easy theleft-leaning New Republic called it “a joke.” California made Arnold Schwarzenegger its governor. “Suddenly, instead of a bipolar system with the US and China, we’d see a multi-polar system with the US, China, California, India and so on,” Saideman says. Boom. We cherish local community, the liberties bequeathed us by the Founders, the civilizational foundations of faith and family, and—we are not ashamed to use the word—peace. can california survive being its own country? 2011-06-18 03:42:45 2011-06-18 03:42:45. What's not to love? Republicans will control Washington forever. 4.) And despite tough talk between the EU and UK, Brexit is proceeding peacefully. Viability, as the word has been used in United States constitutional law since Roe v.Wade, is the potential of the fetus to survive outside the uterus after birth, natural or induced, when supported by up-to-date medicine.Fetal viability depends largely on the fetal organ maturity, and environmental conditions. States such as Georgia, Ukraine and Moldova only seceded from the Soviet Union after the Baltic states led the way. Yes it has a high probability. Well yeah California COULD function on its own, but not sure why it should. To drop bombs, nuclear or otherwise, on any enemies, Texas makes its own fighter jets: Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) assembles the F-16, the backbone of … Can California survive as its own country? Combined with its easily abused ballot system and politics that are vastly out of sync with America, California is a little full of itself. and how possible is it that 2/3 house of representatives and the senate vote for this? News. The fake opinion columnists primarily targeted right-of-center outlets receptive to a hawkish line against Iran. As California vied for a high standing in the international community, it would likely take a lead on key issues such as mitigating global warming. Without influence in D.C., California will have to renegotiate its benefits from the federal government, notably for the military that protects it. Yes, it’s understandable why, with the election of an evil white supremacist swindler as president of the United States, the idea of … California this week declared its independence from the federal government’s feeble efforts to fight Covid-19 — and perhaps from a bit more. Nearly two years in the making, CCPA has prompted other states to consider their own privacy laws, some of which have already passed. (The coronavirus bug can apparently survive on steel for up to 72 hours.) You could survive in California for 5-10 years! The state’s enormous power didn’t happen because of modern-day progressivism. Definitions. In Houston, by contrast, this same family will still have over $3,500 per month left over after paying for taxes and the bare necessities. More questions about History, Politics & Society, Politics and Government, Government, how And for how long? Then we have a favour to ask. California is the world’s fifth largest economy – bigger than that of the entire UK – grossing $2.7 trillion in 2017. There’s no guarantee that an independent California would be an exception. The more pressing problem is water. , and that means they need people to sue to stay in business. Yet exploring what would happen should this improbable event come to pass is still worthwhile for the questions it raises about the precarious balance of power – and politics – in the US. “Republicans might actually say ‘good riddance’, whereas Democrats might say ‘we’ve gotta keep California or we might be marginalised forever’,” he says. Luckily for Californians we have an American president who loves negotiating! By contrast, in 1994 those figures were just 64% and 70%, respectively. Therefore, states stretching north from Maryland to Maine and west to Pennsylvania may see secession as the only means of escaping a permanent Republican majority. Geographically, it looks like about half of California is red. In Houston, by contrast, this same family will still have over $3,500 per month left over after paying for taxes and the bare necessities. California’s secession might, however, trigger a snowballing of similar initiatives in other parts of the US. The newly formed country would almost certainly continue to welcome overseas innovators to Silicon Valley and its space agency, but it might also relax policies for less skilled workers as well. California will have to renegotiate deals they currently benefit from. Bay Area millionaires and billionaires may pretend to still be 1960s liberals, but in practice they follow the legacy of Ayn Rand, not Haight-Ashbury. “In international relations, multi-polar systems produce a lot more confusion because alliances matter a lot more.”, California likely would take the lead on climate change – but the US would probably backslide (Credit: Getty). “It’s not inevitable that California is liberal.”, Grofman adds that, as humans, we are naturally inclined to view the world as a zero-sum game. “The dollar would tank,” O’Leary says. “In other words, anything you get, I lose.”. In other words, California’s secession could be the beginning of the end for the United States of America as we know it. 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